In this episode, Nathan sits down with Geordie from Williams Real Estate to unpack one of the most powerful frameworks in property investing: the 18-year land cycle. Where we are right now in the cycle, which markets are about to get hurt, which ones are set up for the next boom, and why the people buying in Perth and Brisbane today could be the surrogate parents of the next decade.

00:00 – Intro: Nathan and Geordie’s story and how they connected
04:00 – Geordie’s background: construction, corporate, Rich Dad Poor Dad, and going all in
09:00 – The 18-year land cycle explained: 14 years of expansion, 4 years of downturn
15:00 – Tracing the cycle back: GFC, 1990 recession, Great Depression
21:00 – Where we sit today: equivalent to mid 2007 or late 1989
27:00 – How money flows through cities: Sydney, Melbourne to Brisbane, Perth and back again
33:00 – The mining boom bust and why those towns will roll over again
39:00 – Why Nathan is buying in Melbourne and Geordie is following
45:00 – The surrogate parent: buying what someone held for 12 years and sold at a loss
50:00 – Two key mistakes buyers agents make and why two big ones went under
55:00 – Cash vs debt, LVR strategy and when Nathan stopped using banks
01:01:00 – Motels, ten thousand properties, and the lazy investor philosophy
01:07:00 – When to sell, when to hold and the ten-year lost decade trap
01:13:00 – Final word: it’s a banker’s game with houses thrown in the middle

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